Tumbaco AV25 vs Chacaritas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.9%
14%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
79.8%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
12.3%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
17.1%
0-4
7.7%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
10%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tumbaco AV25
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CDL
2 - 1
TAV
88%
9%
4%
|
16 | 46 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
TAV
1 - 0
CDL
8%
14%
78%
|
7 | 47 | 40 | +9 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TAV
0 - 0
FCA
56%
20%
24%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 2
TAV
48%
21%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Chacaritas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
RIV
5 - 0
CHA
61%
24%
16%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 2
GUA
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
LFC
2 - 0
CHA
33%
29%
38%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 4
OCT
37%
27%
37%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
INJ
1 - 0
CHA
62%
23%
15%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |