Tulsa vs USF Athletics analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
11.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tulsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
SMU
3 - 0
TUL
47%
22%
31%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
TMP
4 - 1
TUL
24%
21%
55%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -3 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
TUL
2 - 1
SMU
50%
21%
29%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
MPH
0 - 1
TUL
9%
15%
76%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
MPH
0 - 2
TUL
10%
15%
75%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
USF Athletics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
SFB
1 - 2
MPH
78%
13%
8%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
SFB
0 - 1
UCF
22%
21%
57%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
SMU
3 - 2
SFB
73%
15%
12%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
MPH
1 - 3
SFB
22%
20%
58%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
SFB
2 - 1
TUL
15%
18%
67%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | +2 |