Tulsa vs SMU Mustangs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
38%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tulsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
MPH
0 - 1
TUL
10%
16%
75%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
SFB
2 - 5
TUL
26%
22%
53%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
UCF
1 - 0
TUL
58%
20%
22%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
TUL
1 - 1
TMP
54%
21%
25%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
TUL
1 - 0
SFB
73%
16%
12%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
SMU Mustangs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
SMU
2 - 0
SFB
80%
13%
8%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
TMP
1 - 4
SMU
41%
22%
37%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
UCF
1 - 1
SMU
55%
21%
25%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
SMU
1 - 2
TMP
63%
19%
18%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
SMU
3 - 0
TUL
47%
22%
31%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |