FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
56.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Tulsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
TUL
2 - 1
USA
20%
23%
57%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
POR
4 - 0
TUL
69%
18%
13%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
SEA
4 - 4
TUL
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2018 |
SPK
2 - 1
TUL
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
LOU
3 - 2
TUL
69%
19%
13%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Sacramento Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
SAC
3 - 0
SEA
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
REN
1 - 2
SAC
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
SAC
1 - 4
LAG
62%
21%
16%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
LOU
2 - 1
SAC
35%
28%
37%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
SAC
2 - 1
RGV
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |