FC Tulsa vs Reno 1868 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
59.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Tulsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
TUL
2 - 1
NMU
21%
21%
58%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
TUL
2 - 3
SAC
20%
23%
56%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
TAC
1 - 1
TUL
50%
20%
30%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2019 |
TUL
4 - 3
USA
17%
22%
61%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
TUL
0 - 1
ORA
15%
21%
64%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Reno 1868
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
LVG
0 - 2
REN
29%
23%
48%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
REN
0 - 0
EPL
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
REN
1 - 2
MON
63%
20%
17%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
NMU
1 - 3
REN
47%
24%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2019 |
AUB
1 - 2
REN
41%
24%
36%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |