FC Tulsa vs Northern Colorado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
64.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Tulsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SAC
1 - 1
TUL
70%
20%
11%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
TUL
3 - 3
ARI
24%
25%
51%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
ORA
1 - 0
TUL
60%
23%
18%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
LVG
1 - 3
TUL
28%
24%
49%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
HAA
2 - 5
TUL
27%
23%
49%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Colorado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
GTR
3 - 1
NCO
32%
28%
40%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
COR
2 - 3
NCO
30%
22%
48%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
SPV
1 - 0
NCO
18%
23%
60%
|
62 | 16 | 46 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
TUL
1 - 4
NCO
17%
19%
65%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
LSC
0 - 0
NCO
20%
23%
57%
|
62 | 31 | 31 | 0 |