FC Tulsa vs Louisville City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
61.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Tulsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2021 |
TUL
4 - 3
SPK
50%
23%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
BLE
2 - 1
TUL
52%
25%
23%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2021 |
SPK
4 - 1
TUL
34%
24%
42%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2021 |
AFC
5 - 0
TUL
43%
23%
34%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
IND
0 - 2
TUL
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Louisville City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2021 |
LOU
2 - 0
BLE
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
LOU
3 - 0
MEM
71%
19%
10%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
AFC
1 - 0
LOU
20%
25%
55%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
LOU
1 - 2
IND
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
LOU
2 - 1
SDL
69%
20%
12%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |