Tulsa Athletics vs Northern Colorado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
64.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tulsa Athletics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
TUL
9 - 8
AFC
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
TUL
4 - 0
CRR
43%
24%
33%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
STC
1 - 2
TUL
22%
23%
55%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
DMU
3 - 4
TUL
8%
13%
79%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
TUL
2 - 1
OKC
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Colorado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
LSC
0 - 0
NCO
20%
23%
57%
|
62 | 31 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 1
NCO
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
NCO
4 - 1
FMA
65%
21%
15%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
NCO
3 - 1
CRW
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
NCO
2 - 0
FMA
62%
22%
17%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |