CD Tuilla vs Sporting Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
40.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
2º
6º
5º
4
3º
17º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 80 |
1º
|
61% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 72 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
|
10º
|
4 | 65 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 61 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
|
3º
|
7 | 61 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 56 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 55 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 49 |
8º
|
7.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 46 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 44 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 42 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 37 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 34 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 34 |
14º
|
8.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 31 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 30 |
16º
|
16% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 27 |
17º
|
16.5% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 27 |
18º
|
31.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
6.5% | 6.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
45.5% | 68% |
|
Mid-table
|
47% | 25.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Tuilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CEA
0 - 1
TUI
44%
23%
33%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
TUI
1 - 0
COL
73%
16%
11%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
6 - 0
TUI
63%
23%
15%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
TUI
3 - 1
COL
68%
19%
14%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
TUI
1 - 2
MAR
18%
23%
59%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | -2 |
Matches
Sporting Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SPB
3 - 1
ESM
80%
13%
7%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CAU
3 - 0
SPB
27%
28%
45%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LEO
1 - 3
SPB
36%
26%
38%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LAR
1 - 0
SPB
32%
28%
40%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
UPL
0 - 0
SPB
57%
24%
19%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |