Tuggeranong United vs Gungahlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.9%
35.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+84%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuggeranong United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
CAN
3 - 2
TUG
84%
11%
5%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
WWF
1 - 1
TUG
46%
21%
33%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
TUG
2 - 4
BEL
37%
21%
42%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
COO
3 - 1
TUG
70%
16%
14%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
TUG
3 - 0
RIR
91%
6%
3%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Gungahlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
GUN
1 - 1
WWF
60%
20%
20%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
GUN
0 - 1
CAN
11%
14%
75%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
GUN
2 - 2
COO
33%
21%
46%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
GUN
0 - 1
RIR
88%
9%
3%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2018 |
GUN
2 - 3
CAN
15%
17%
67%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |