Tuggeranong United vs Canberra FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.1%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
69.2%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+84%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuggeranong United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
COO
3 - 0
TUG
82%
11%
7%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
CAN
3 - 0
TUG
83%
11%
6%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
TUG
1 - 0
MON
92%
6%
2%
|
22 | 8 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
TUG
2 - 1
GUN
44%
21%
35%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
CAN
3 - 2
TUG
84%
11%
5%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Canberra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
CAN
0 - 3
CAN
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
CAN
0 - 2
CAN
40%
23%
37%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
CAN
3 - 0
TUG
83%
11%
6%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
WWF
2 - 3
CAN
9%
13%
79%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
CAN
2 - 2
BEL
63%
18%
19%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |