Tuggeranong United vs Canberra FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.9%
1-0
2%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
83.2%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
12.5%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.4%
0-4
8.8%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
12%
0-5
4.9%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6.3%
0-6
2.3%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.8%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+70%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuggeranong United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
MON
2 - 1
TUG
82%
12%
7%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
TUG
0 - 2
WOD
14%
19%
68%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
COE
5 - 3
TUG
86%
9%
4%
|
13 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
TUG
1 - 2
CAN
8%
16%
76%
|
13 | 39 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
GUN
1 - 0
TUG
82%
12%
6%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Canberra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
MON
1 - 4
CAN
11%
16%
73%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
CAN
5 - 1
WOD
76%
14%
10%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
COE
6 - 3
CAN
33%
21%
46%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -2 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
CAN
1 - 2
CAN
50%
22%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
GUN
1 - 1
CAN
24%
20%
56%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |