Tuggen vs Winterthur II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
8.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
STG
0 - 2
TUG
39%
25%
36%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
TUG
1 - 2
SCH
49%
22%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
FCB
1 - 1
TUG
27%
24%
50%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
TUG
1 - 2
SIO
14%
21%
66%
|
45 | 78 | 33 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
GCB
0 - 3
TUG
32%
25%
44%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Winterthur II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 0
WIN
72%
17%
11%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
WIN
1 - 2
STG
34%
23%
43%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SCH
3 - 0
WIN
69%
19%
13%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
FCB
5 - 3
WIN
35%
24%
41%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
WIN
1 - 1
GCB
45%
24%
32%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |