Tuggen vs Taverne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
9.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
6º
4º
22
6º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 63 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 56 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 56 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
25 | 55 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 51 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 50 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 43 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
22 | 40 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 39 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 35 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 34 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 32 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 31 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 30 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 24 |
15º
|
31% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 23 |
16º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
35% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
65% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2024 |
TUG
0 - 4
FCW
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ESC
1 - 4
TUG
20%
22%
58%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
YFJ
4 - 3
TUG
46%
23%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
TUG
4 - 0
MEN
79%
14%
7%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SVS
4 - 2
TUG
23%
23%
54%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Taverne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
TAV
2 - 1
HON
36%
26%
38%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
FCC
1 - 2
TAV
49%
25%
26%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TAV
0 - 3
STG
14%
19%
66%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
UZW
0 - 1
TAV
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
TAV
0 - 3
FRE
54%
23%
24%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |