Tuggen vs Mendrisio-Stabio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
1º
3º
1º
2
11º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
16 | 63 |
1º
|
35.5% | |
|
1º
|
16 | 62 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 59 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 59 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 53 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 46 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 40 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 37 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 36 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 35 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 35 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 32 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 31 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 30 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 29 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
2 | 22 |
16º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
60% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
40% | 40.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 59.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SVS
4 - 2
TUG
23%
23%
54%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
HON
2 - 3
TUG
15%
21%
65%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TUG
3 - 0
FCC
71%
17%
13%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
STG
2 - 2
TUG
50%
23%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
TUG
0 - 2
SCH
17%
19%
64%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Mendrisio-Stabio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
MEN
1 - 2
HON
46%
25%
29%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
KOS
1 - 0
MEN
40%
27%
33%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
FCC
1 - 0
MEN
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
UZW
0 - 0
MEN
39%
26%
35%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MEN
1 - 1
STG
15%
19%
65%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +1 |