Tuggen vs Baden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
18.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
KOS
0 - 0
TUG
37%
24%
40%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
TUG
2 - 1
RSZ
46%
23%
31%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
UZU
2 - 7
TUG
19%
20%
61%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
TUG
3 - 0
FCT
73%
16%
11%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
MEN
0 - 0
TUG
27%
23%
50%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
BAD
0 - 1
WIN
60%
21%
20%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
HON
1 - 4
BAD
37%
23%
40%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
BAD
2 - 1
STG
36%
23%
42%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
FCG
2 - 2
BAD
38%
22%
40%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
KOS
1 - 2
BAD
60%
20%
19%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |