Tuen Mun SA vs Pegasus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
37.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuen Mun SA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
TMS
3 - 0
SDI
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
CAA
0 - 0
TMS
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
TMS
3 - 2
WTP
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
KFC
1 - 0
TMS
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
TMS
3 - 0
HON
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Pegasus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
SUN
1 - 2
BIU
59%
23%
19%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
SUN
3 - 3
WTP
66%
20%
15%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |