Tuen Mun SA vs South China AA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
60.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuen Mun SA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
TMS
1 - 1
PFC
21%
24%
55%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
HON
3 - 3
TMS
38%
24%
38%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
YOK
1 - 1
TMS
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SHS
1 - 2
TMS
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
TMS
1 - 2
KFC
18%
20%
62%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
South China AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
KFC
2 - 2
SCA
53%
22%
25%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
WTP
0 - 4
SCA
20%
22%
59%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SCA
1 - 4
KFC
45%
24%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -3 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SCA
1 - 1
SHA
77%
16%
7%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
SCA
4 - 2
WTP
65%
20%
15%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | -1 |