Tuen Mun SA vs Sham Shui Po analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
65%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuen Mun SA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
TMS
0 - 1
MUT
56%
20%
23%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
DOU
5 - 0
TMS
69%
17%
15%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
YTS
2 - 3
TMS
49%
22%
29%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
WAN
0 - 1
TMS
34%
23%
44%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
FUM
1 - 0
TMS
33%
23%
44%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Sham Shui Po
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
EAS
3 - 2
SHA
81%
13%
6%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
HON
0 - 0
SHA
61%
20%
19%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
SHA
1 - 6
WAR
9%
18%
74%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
WAR
1 - 2
SHA
82%
12%
6%
|
44 | 69 | 25 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
RES
0 - 0
SHA
40%
24%
36%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |