Tuen Mun SA vs Sham Shui Po analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuen Mun SA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CAA
1 - 1
TMS
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
YOK
0 - 0
TMS
61%
19%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
WTP
1 - 1
TMS
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2011 |
SHS
2 - 2
TMS
73%
16%
12%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
PFC
3 - 1
TMS
70%
19%
12%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Sham Shui Po
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
PFC
3 - 0
SHA
76%
16%
9%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
CAA
1 - 0
SHA
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
HON
0 - 1
SHA
51%
23%
26%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
HON
2 - 2
SHA
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
WTP
2 - 1
SHA
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |