Tuen Mun SA vs Kitchee FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
51.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuen Mun SA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
TMS
2 - 3
PFC
22%
20%
58%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
WTP
3 - 1
TMS
49%
24%
28%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
TMS
4 - 2
SHS
52%
25%
24%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
TMS
1 - 0
WTP
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
WTP
5 - 0
TMS
38%
23%
39%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -3 |
Matches
Kitchee FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
KFC
2 - 1
BIU
75%
15%
10%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
KFC
1 - 2
BIU
81%
13%
6%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
KFC
2 - 2
YOK
74%
17%
9%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
BIU
2 - 7
KFC
18%
23%
60%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
KFC
0 - 0
SCA
46%
22%
32%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |