Tuen Mun SA vs Hong Kong FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
26.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuen Mun SA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
CAA
0 - 0
TMS
63%
21%
17%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
TMS
3 - 1
SHS
38%
25%
36%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
PFC
2 - 1
TMS
70%
19%
11%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
SCA
0 - 0
TMS
73%
18%
10%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
TMS
1 - 2
KFC
24%
26%
50%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2010 |
HON
0 - 3
SHS
50%
23%
28%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2010 |
SCA
2 - 1
HON
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
CAA
4 - 1
HON
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2010 |
HON
2 - 2
TCS
68%
18%
14%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2010 |
KFC
6 - 0
HON
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |