Tuen Mun SA vs Citizen AA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
43.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuen Mun SA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
SHS
2 - 1
TMS
68%
18%
13%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
KFC
3 - 0
TMS
75%
17%
9%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
HON
2 - 1
TMS
43%
23%
34%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
WTP
4 - 0
TMS
51%
23%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
TMS
1 - 0
YOK
34%
26%
40%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Citizen AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
TCS
0 - 1
CAA
30%
25%
45%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
YOK
5 - 2
CAA
50%
25%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
CAA
1 - 3
SCA
25%
22%
53%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
CAA
1 - 2
SCA
26%
23%
51%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
CAA
2 - 2
SHS
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |