Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 1-8
Tudelano vs Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
55.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tudelano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
TUD
4 - 0
CDM
81%
12%
7%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
SDE
2 - 2
TUD
40%
29%
31%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
RSO
6 - 1
TUD
91%
6%
3%
|
44 | 79 | 35 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
TUD
0 - 0
MUT
76%
18%
7%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
CDG
0 - 1
TUD
49%
27%
24%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
ATM
2 - 2
RSO
72%
17%
11%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
RSO
2 - 0
SPO
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
RSO
6 - 1
TUD
91%
6%
3%
|
79 | 44 | 35 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
CEL
1 - 0
RSO
39%
30%
32%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
RSO
2 - 3
REC
78%
15%
7%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | -1 |