Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 4-2
Tudelano vs CD Alfaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.4%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
6.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tudelano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1992 |
ALF
2 - 2
TUD
20%
24%
56%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
DEP
4 - 1
TUD
37%
27%
36%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -2 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
TUD
2 - 1
LOG
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
ASP
1 - 0
TUD
53%
26%
21%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 May. 1992 |
TUD
0 - 0
SPB
41%
29%
30%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1992 |
ALF
2 - 2
TUD
20%
24%
56%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
MIR
1 - 2
ALF
68%
21%
11%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
ALF
1 - 2
RIB
59%
24%
17%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
ARN
2 - 1
ALF
50%
26%
24%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1992 |
ALF
1 - 1
AZK
52%
26%
22%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |