Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 4-1
Tudelano vs Barbastro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
9.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tudelano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
CFP
1 - 0
TUD
67%
22%
11%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
TUD
2 - 1
RSO
53%
27%
21%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1973 |
OSA
4 - 3
TUD
58%
25%
17%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1973 |
TUD
3 - 1
PEÑ
90%
8%
2%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1973 |
BÉJ
2 - 0
TUD
29%
28%
42%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Barbastro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
EIB
1 - 0
BAR
81%
13%
6%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
BAR
0 - 1
CFP
30%
32%
38%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 1973 |
RSO
1 - 3
BAR
92%
6%
2%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +3 |
| 02 Sep. 1973 |
BAR
1 - 0
OSA
22%
28%
51%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +2 |
| 07 Jun. 1970 |
TOL
1 - 0
BAR
47%
25%
28%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |