Tucson vs Orlando City II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tucson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
TOR
1 - 1
TUC
50%
24%
27%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
NOT
1 - 1
TUC
67%
20%
13%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
FMA
1 - 0
TUC
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
CRW
1 - 1
TUC
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
GTR
1 - 3
TUC
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Orlando City II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
ORL
1 - 2
LIG
23%
23%
54%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
LIG
3 - 0
ORL
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
FMA
1 - 0
ORL
71%
18%
11%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
ORL
1 - 4
TOR
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
RIC
1 - 0
ORL
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |