Tucson vs North Texas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
48.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tucson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
RIC
1 - 0
TUC
42%
26%
33%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
TUC
1 - 2
OMA
29%
26%
45%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
TUC
4 - 2
NER
37%
26%
38%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
CRW
2 - 2
TUC
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
TUC
2 - 1
IMI
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
North Texas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
OMA
1 - 1
NOT
46%
27%
28%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
NOT
1 - 1
CRW
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
NOT
4 - 1
FMA
49%
25%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
RIC
3 - 2
NOT
27%
25%
48%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
NER
3 - 0
NOT
29%
25%
46%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |