Tucson vs New England Revolution II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.7%
37.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tucson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
CRW
2 - 2
TUC
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
TUC
2 - 1
IMI
44%
24%
32%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
OMA
1 - 0
TUC
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
NOT
0 - 0
TUC
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
TUC
2 - 3
CRW
31%
26%
43%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
New England Revolution II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
NER
1 - 0
TOR
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
NER
0 - 3
GTR
33%
27%
40%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2021 |
FMA
1 - 0
NER
40%
27%
34%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
NER
3 - 0
NOT
29%
25%
46%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +2 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
FMA
0 - 2
NER
48%
26%
26%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |