Tucson vs Greenville Triumph analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
47.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tucson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
TUC
0 - 0
RIC
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
GTR
4 - 0
TUC
59%
23%
18%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
TUC
0 - 5
LIG
29%
26%
44%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
TUC
1 - 0
CRW
36%
27%
38%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
TUC
3 - 1
ORL
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Greenville Triumph
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
GTR
3 - 1
TOR
63%
22%
15%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
GTR
4 - 0
TUC
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
RIC
1 - 0
GTR
26%
27%
47%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2019 |
FMA
0 - 1
GTR
43%
27%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
TOR
0 - 0
GTR
28%
26%
46%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |