Tucson vs Forward Madison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
43.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tucson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
NOT
1 - 1
TUC
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
TUC
1 - 0
NER
36%
24%
40%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
TUC
0 - 2
NOT
23%
24%
53%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
TUC
2 - 2
RIC
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
OMA
2 - 1
TUC
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
GTR
2 - 0
FMA
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
NER
0 - 4
FMA
41%
27%
33%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
FMA
3 - 1
ORL
75%
17%
9%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
OMA
1 - 1
FMA
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
FMA
4 - 0
TOR
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |