Copa Venezuela Last 16
Global 2-2
Tucanes FC vs Monagas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
35%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tucanes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
TUC
0 - 2
ZUL
38%
29%
33%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
TUC
2 - 0
ARR
56%
25%
20%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
MIN
4 - 2
TUC
68%
20%
12%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
ARR
0 - 0
TUC
28%
26%
47%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
TUC
0 - 0
ATL
37%
30%
33%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
MON
4 - 0
PDA
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
MET
2 - 2
MON
39%
27%
35%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
MON
3 - 0
ANG
72%
19%
10%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2015 |
MON
3 - 1
MET
46%
26%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
MON
1 - 0
MAR
57%
22%
20%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |