Tucanes FC vs Estudiantes de Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.2%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
40.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tucanes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
TUC
0 - 0
DEP
14%
22%
64%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
EST
1 - 0
TUC
51%
26%
23%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
TUC
1 - 1
MIR
46%
28%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
TUC
1 - 1
ANZ
17%
23%
60%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
ARA
1 - 0
TUC
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ESC
1 - 1
LLA
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
TRU
3 - 0
ESC
51%
27%
23%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ESC
2 - 0
ANZ
32%
28%
40%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
MET
0 - 1
ESC
37%
26%
38%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ESC
3 - 3
URE
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |