Tucanes FC vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
48.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tucanes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
EST
1 - 1
TUC
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
TUC
0 - 0
TRU
25%
26%
49%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
TUC
1 - 0
TAC
18%
24%
58%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
MET
0 - 0
TUC
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
TUC
1 - 0
MIN
21%
25%
53%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
LAR
0 - 0
ZUL
68%
20%
13%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
LAR
4 - 1
POR
75%
17%
8%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
LLA
3 - 0
LAR
17%
23%
61%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
LAR
1 - 1
ATL
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
MIR
0 - 1
LAR
19%
25%
55%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |