Copa Venezuela Semi-finals
Global 0-5
Tucanes FC vs La Guaira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
64.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tucanes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
EST
1 - 0
TUC
51%
26%
23%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
TUC
1 - 1
MIR
46%
28%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
TUC
1 - 1
ANZ
17%
23%
60%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
ARA
1 - 0
TUC
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2015 |
ANZ
2 - 2
TUC
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 3
DEP
35%
29%
36%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 1
CFC
40%
28%
33%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
DEP
3 - 1
POR
69%
21%
10%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
LQE
4 - 0
DEP
55%
24%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
ZUL
1 - 1
DEP
28%
28%
45%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |