Tucanes FC vs Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.6%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
51.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tucanes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
DEP
3 - 1
TUC
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
TUC
0 - 0
LAR
26%
26%
49%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
EST
1 - 1
TUC
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
TUC
0 - 0
TRU
25%
26%
49%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
TUC
1 - 0
TAC
18%
24%
58%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
CFC
2 - 2
TAC
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
POR
0 - 2
CFC
15%
24%
61%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CFC
3 - 2
LLA
74%
17%
9%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 1
CFC
27%
27%
47%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CFC
1 - 0
MIR
76%
16%
8%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |