Tucanes FC vs Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
50.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tucanes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
TUC
1 - 1
ANZ
21%
25%
54%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ZAM
4 - 0
TUC
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
ZUL
2 - 0
TUC
40%
26%
35%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
POR
4 - 0
TUC
22%
25%
53%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
TUC
0 - 0
LLA
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CFC
1 - 2
LAR
57%
23%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
CFC
1 - 0
ZAM
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 2
CFC
39%
28%
34%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ZUL
1 - 0
CFC
23%
26%
52%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ARA
0 - 0
CFC
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |