Tucanes FC vs Carabobo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
52.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tucanes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
MON
2 - 1
TUC
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
POR
4 - 0
TUC
33%
27%
40%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
TUC
1 - 0
MON
38%
28%
35%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
TUC
0 - 2
ZUL
38%
29%
33%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
TUC
2 - 0
ARR
56%
25%
20%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
CAR
4 - 1
LLA
56%
26%
18%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 0
LLA
58%
25%
17%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
TOL
0 - 0
CAR
77%
15%
8%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 1
APC
30%
25%
45%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 0
TOL
16%
24%
61%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |