Venezuelan Cup Last 16
Global 2-1
Tucanes FC vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
54.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tucanes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
TUC
2 - 2
APC
23%
24%
53%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
CAR
4 - 0
TUC
43%
26%
31%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -2 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 1
TUC
68%
20%
13%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
TUC
2 - 1
GVA
59%
23%
18%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
VEN
0 - 0
TUC
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 1
MIR
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
MON
2 - 1
ARA
48%
24%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 0
URE
55%
23%
21%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 1
TUC
68%
20%
13%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 2
ARA
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |