Tucanes FC vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
46.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tucanes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
MON
3 - 2
TUC
75%
17%
8%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
TUC
1 - 3
ZAM
19%
27%
54%
|
46 | 72 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
TUC
3 - 1
BOL
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
LLA
4 - 1
TUC
52%
23%
24%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
ANG
1 - 5
TUC
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 3
YAR
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 2
MON
40%
29%
32%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
EST
0 - 0
ARA
33%
25%
42%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ARA
2 - 2
YAR
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
TAC
3 - 1
ARA
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |