Tubize vs Binche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
2º
6º
2º
5
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 42 |
1º
|
43% | |
|
|
6º
|
10 | 41 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 38 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 34 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 33 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 32 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 29 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 27 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 25 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
5 | 24 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 24 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 19 |
12º
|
44.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
97% | 19.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3% | 80.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tubize
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
TUB
1 - 2
STO
73%
18%
9%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
OLY
3 - 2
TUB
27%
25%
48%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TUB
2 - 1
FBO
44%
23%
33%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
TOU
1 - 1
TUB
22%
24%
53%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
TUB
4 - 2
RCS
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Binche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
NAM
2 - 3
BIN
28%
24%
48%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BIN
0 - 2
GEN
21%
25%
54%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
PAT
2 - 1
BIN
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BIN
1 - 2
STL
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
SGI
2 - 2
BIN
37%
24%
39%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |