TSW Pegasus FC vs South China AA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
33%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSW Pegasus FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
WTP
1 - 2
PFC
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2009 |
PFC
4 - 2
HVA
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
PFC
1 - 1
CAA
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
FRA
1 - 4
PFC
42%
27%
32%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
TCS
1 - 0
PFC
25%
26%
50%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
South China AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2009 |
SCA
6 - 0
69%
20%
11%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
SHS
3 - 1
SCA
35%
25%
41%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
KFC
2 - 1
SCA
36%
25%
40%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
SCA
0 - 1
ALK
55%
23%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2009 |
ALK
2 - 1
SCA
32%
23%
45%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |