TSW Pegasus FC vs Sham Shui Po analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
8.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSW Pegasus FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
SHS
1 - 3
PFC
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 2011 |
SCA
1 - 0
PFC
49%
22%
29%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
PFC
3 - 1
TMS
70%
19%
12%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
PFC
2 - 2
SCA
35%
21%
43%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
CAA
2 - 3
PFC
31%
26%
44%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sham Shui Po
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
CAA
1 - 0
SHA
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
HON
0 - 1
SHA
51%
23%
26%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
HON
2 - 2
SHA
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
WTP
2 - 1
SHA
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SHA
0 - 1
KFC
19%
25%
57%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | -1 |