TSW Pegasus FC vs Kitchee FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
42.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSW Pegasus FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
YOK
0 - 3
PFC
40%
25%
36%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
TMS
1 - 1
PFC
21%
24%
55%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
PFC
6 - 4
CAA
70%
18%
12%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
PFC
4 - 1
CAA
63%
20%
17%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
HON
2 - 2
PFC
15%
22%
63%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | -2 |
Matches
Kitchee FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
SON
1 - 0
KFC
26%
23%
51%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
KFC
2 - 0
SON
66%
19%
15%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
KFC
2 - 2
SCA
53%
22%
25%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
KFC
1 - 0
CAA
73%
16%
11%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
TER
0 - 2
KFC
31%
24%
45%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |