TSV Steinbach Haiger II vs Türkgücü Friedberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
10.7%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.5%
64.6%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
12º
18º
19º
38
3º
12º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 73 |
1º
|
46.5% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 71 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
|
4º
|
38 | 68 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 65 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 59 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 55 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 52 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 52 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 52 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 51 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 50 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 50 |
12º
|
7% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 47 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 45 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 43 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 40 |
16º
|
23.5% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 36 |
17º
|
37% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 24 |
18º
|
52% | |
|
|
19º
|
12 | 23 |
19º
|
62.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 12.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 19% |
|
Mid-table
|
62.5% | 68.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
37.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSV Steinbach Haiger II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
TSV
2 - 4
SUF
26%
19%
55%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
STE
2 - 2
TSV
72%
15%
13%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
TSV
3 - 3
SVA
25%
19%
56%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
BAU
2 - 2
TSV
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
HSC
2 - 3
TSV
76%
14%
10%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Türkgücü Friedberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
TUR
2 - 0
STE
68%
18%
14%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
SVA
4 - 3
TUR
28%
24%
48%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
TUR
2 - 2
HSC
62%
19%
19%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
HUN
0 - 4
TUR
29%
21%
50%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
HOR
1 - 3
TUR
17%
18%
66%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |