TSV Sasel vs Wandsbeker Concordia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.4%
Win probability
3.56
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.7%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.5%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.8%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
15%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.2%
4.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
4º
13º
4º
4
12º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
26 | 81 |
1º
|
60.5% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 76 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 68 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
15 | 64 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 62 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 57 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 56 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 56 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 51 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 47 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 43 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 41 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 40 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 37 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 29 |
15º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 27 |
16º
|
23% | |
|
|
17º
|
4 | 20 |
17º
|
22% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 19 |
18º
|
38.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98% | 21% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 79% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSV Sasel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
PAL
3 - 1
SAS
19%
22%
60%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SAS
3 - 1
SUD
70%
16%
14%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
VHG
1 - 0
SAS
29%
23%
48%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
ATB
0 - 1
SAS
13%
15%
72%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SAS
3 - 3
RUG
85%
10%
5%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Wandsbeker Concordia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
WAN
0 - 1
EIM
19%
20%
61%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
BUC
3 - 0
WAN
66%
17%
16%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
WAN
3 - 4
VOW
29%
21%
50%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
DSC
1 - 2
WAN
42%
21%
37%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
THA
2 - 2
WAN
44%
23%
33%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |