TSV Sasel vs Victoria Hamburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
21.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
7º
13º
7º
28
5º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 85 |
1º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 77 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 76 |
3º
|
55.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 62 |
4º
|
49.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 60 |
5º
|
38% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 57 |
6º
|
36% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 53 |
7º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
28 | 48 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 45 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 45 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 43 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 43 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 38 |
13º
|
24.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 36 |
14º
|
22% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 35 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 29 |
16º
|
43.5% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 22 |
17º
|
70% | |
|
18º
|
5 | 13 |
18º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSV Sasel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
EIM
4 - 2
SAS
56%
22%
22%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SAS
3 - 2
BUC
75%
15%
11%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
VOW
2 - 2
SAS
32%
22%
45%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SAS
1 - 1
ATB
85%
9%
6%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
THA
1 - 1
SAS
14%
20%
66%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Victoria Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
WIL
2 - 0
VHG
24%
19%
58%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
VHG
0 - 2
EIM
42%
23%
35%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
VHG
3 - 1
ETH
48%
22%
30%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +3 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
BUC
1 - 1
VHG
33%
23%
44%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
VHG
4 - 1
HAM
85%
9%
6%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |