TSV Sasel vs Süderelbe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
13.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
7º
13º
7º
18
13º
18º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 85 |
1º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 77 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 76 |
3º
|
55.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 62 |
4º
|
49.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 60 |
5º
|
38% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 57 |
6º
|
36% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 53 |
7º
|
30.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 48 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 45 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 45 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 43 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 43 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
18 | 38 |
13º
|
24.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 36 |
14º
|
22% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 35 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 29 |
16º
|
43.5% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 22 |
17º
|
70% | |
|
18º
|
5 | 13 |
18º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 94.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 5.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSV Sasel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
VHG
1 - 0
SAS
29%
23%
48%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
ATB
0 - 1
SAS
13%
15%
72%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SAS
3 - 3
RUG
85%
10%
5%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SAS
4 - 0
UTO
87%
8%
4%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
WAN
0 - 4
SAS
16%
21%
64%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Süderelbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SUD
2 - 7
EIM
55%
21%
24%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
TOD
2 - 0
SUD
70%
17%
13%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
SUD
2 - 5
EIN
24%
21%
55%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
SUD
2 - 4
STP
23%
21%
57%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
SUD
4 - 1
FNT
81%
12%
7%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |