TSV Sasel vs FC Türkiye Wilhelmsburg Aca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.5%
Win probability
3.98
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.9%
7-0
2.8%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4%
6-0
4.9%
7-1
2.1%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.4%
5-0
7.4%
6-1
3.7%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.9%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
5.5%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.1%
6.2%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
6.2%
3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+196%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
3º
9º
6º
32
11º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
82.5% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
82.5% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSV Sasel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SAS
7 - 1
ATB
87%
8%
5%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
RUG
1 - 2
SAS
11%
16%
74%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
UTO
1 - 0
SAS
9%
14%
77%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SAS
3 - 4
WAN
86%
10%
4%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
BUC
1 - 2
SAS
13%
17%
70%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
FC Türkiye Wilhelmsburg Aca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
UTO
0 - 2
WIL
72%
15%
13%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
WIL
1 - 3
WAN
21%
19%
60%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BUC
2 - 1
WIL
74%
14%
12%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
DNB
4 - 0
WIL
38%
22%
40%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
WIL
1 - 4
SUD
17%
17%
66%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |