TSV Sasel vs ETSV Hamburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
20.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+84%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
5º
13º
5º
18
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 80 |
1º
|
47.5% | |
|
2º
|
23 | 79 |
2º
|
43% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 63 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
18 | 60 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
12 | 59 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 58 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 54 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 53 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 53 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 46 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 42 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 41 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 41 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
17º
|
3 | 38 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 30 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 25 |
16º
|
19% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 23 |
17º
|
27.5% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 21 |
18º
|
40% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 99% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSV Sasel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
HAM
0 - 3
SAS
14%
17%
69%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
SAS
3 - 2
HAL
72%
16%
13%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
DAS
4 - 0
SAS
70%
17%
13%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SAS
4 - 2
WAN
88%
8%
4%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
PAL
3 - 1
SAS
19%
22%
60%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
ETSV Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ETH
4 - 5
EIM
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
BUC
4 - 2
ETH
36%
24%
39%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ETH
9 - 1
VOW
55%
22%
23%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ATB
0 - 6
ETH
18%
19%
63%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ETH
7 - 0
THA
67%
17%
16%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | +1 |